← Exam Skills

Progress and forecast

Replayed from 46 status changes in 8 sessions since 27 Sep · no exam date set · built from 5 weeks of pace, provisional until 8

Today

0% · 0 of 51 steps

0% three weeks ago · 0% on 27 Sep

Pace, last 5 weeks

0 steps a week

no blocks timetabled before the goal · weeks ran 0 · 0 · 0 · 0 · 0

Stalled. Stalled 5 weeks running: blocks on the timetable, nothing moved up.

No new topics. No new topic opened for 5 weeks with blocks; 17 topics have never been taught.

Sign in to see the forecast cone and the topics in flight.

Where she is, where she's headed

Coverage since 21 Sep with the aimline 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct Nov everything secure · 67% 0% today
coverage, day by dayeverything securedays off

Booked days off are shaded: no steps are expected on a day with no Exam Skills block, and the cone routes around them. The cone stops at 100% because the syllabus does; it does not know that later topics may be harder than the ones already taught.

Chart data
Week endingActualAimlineLikely lowMost likelyLikely high
2026-09-270%————
2026-10-040%————
2026-10-110%————
2026-10-180%————
2026-10-250%————
2026-11-010%————
2026-11-020%————

How the colours have moved

Topics by status, week by week 0 4 9 13 17 17 not started 20 Sep 27 Sep 4 Oct 11 Oct 18 Oct 25 Oct 1 Nov 2 Nov
exam-readysecuredevelopinggapnot started

Green grows from the bottom. The yellow band is what is in flight: 0 developing now. A flat picture is a stalled week; green shrinking is a regression. 17 topics have not been opened.

Chart data
Week endingNot startedGapDevelopingSecureExam-ready
2026-09-20170000
2026-09-27170000
2026-10-04170000
2026-10-11170000
2026-10-18170000
2026-10-25170000
2026-11-01170000
2026-11-02170000

Week by week

Steps gained each week against the pace needed 0 3 7 no blocks W39 0 W40 0 W41 0 W42 0 W43 0 W44 0 W45
WeekBlocksSessionsTouchesOpenedStepsAimlineReading
2026-W3921 Sep01400no blocksevidence only
2026-W4028 Sep352500stalledevidence only
2026-W415 Oct11700stalledevidence only
2026-W4212 Oct10200nothing loggedevidence only
2026-W4319 Oct11800stalledevidence only
2026-W4426 Oct10000nothing logged
2026-W452 Nov10000in progress in progress

Touches are status changes where nothing moved: evidence logged against a topic that stayed where it was. Opened counts topics taught for the first time. Natural process limits on the weekly steps appear once 6 complete weeks with blocks are in.

How this is worked out
  1. The line is coverage replayed from every status change, one point per day, in steps: one topic moving up one level.
  2. The aimline runs from coverage on the first tracked day to the goal (every step on exam day unless the parent set another). Two weeks under it is a warning; four weeks running is the rule to change the teaching.
  3. The cone re-runs the future 5,000 times. Each run first re-draws which of the last 8 weeks count, then gives every future week the pace of one of those, scaled to the blocks the timetable has that week. Days off carry no blocks. The shaded band is where 70% of runs land; the paler band, 90%.
  4. Stalled is a week with blocks and sessions but no steps. Behind is a week that ended under the aimline. Touched, unmoved counts evidence logged against a topic that stayed put.
  5. The cone does not know that later topics may be harder, that exam-ready needs revision-phase work, or about holidays nobody has booked. It narrows as weeks are added.