Replayed from 192 status changes in 32 sessions since 19 Aug · 193 days to the exam · built from 8 weeks of pace
Today
30% · 58 of 192 steps
29% three weeks ago · 22% on 19 Aug · aimline says 35% today
Pace, last 8 weeks
0 steps a week
needs 2.3 to be 67% by 14 May · weeks ran 0 · +2 · 0 · -4 · 0 · +2 · 0 · 0
Behind aimline. 5 consecutive weeks under the aimline: the rule says change the teaching, not wait.
No new topics. No new topic opened for 5 weeks with blocks; 30 topics have never been taught.
Stuck topics. Developing and not moving despite repeated work: A9-A10 (5 touches, 3 weeks), A17 (5 touches, 3 weeks), N1-N3 (3 touches, 3 weeks).
Sign in to see the forecast cone and the topics in flight.
Booked days off are shaded: no steps are expected on a day with no GCSE Mathematics block, and the cone routes around them. The cone stops at 100% because the syllabus does; it does not know that later topics may be harder than the ones already taught.
| Week ending | Actual | Aimline | Likely low | Most likely | Likely high |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | 22% | 23% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-30 | 22% | 24% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-06 | 23% | 26% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-13 | 30% | 27% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-20 | 30% | 28% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-27 | 31% | 29% | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-04 | 31% | 30% | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-11 | 29% | 31% | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-18 | 29% | 33% | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-25 | 30% | 34% | — | — | — |
| 2026-11-01 | 30% | 35% | — | — | — |
| 2026-11-02 | 30% | 35% | — | — | — |
Green grows from the bottom. The yellow band is what is in flight: 11 developing now. A flat picture is a stalled week; green shrinking is a regression. 30 topics have not been opened.
| Week ending | Not started | Gap | Developing | Secure | Exam-ready |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | 24 | 14 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 24 | 14 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 24 | 14 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 2026-10-18 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 2026-10-25 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 1 |
| Week | Blocks | Sessions | Touches | Opened | Steps | Aimline | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-W3417 Aug | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no blocks | |
| 2026-W3524 Aug | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no blocks | |
| 2026-W3631 Aug | 1 | 3 | 16 | 3 | +2 | 4 behind | P1 ↑, P2-P3 ↑, A4 ↓, P4-P5 ↑ |
| 2026-W377 Sep | 4 | 5 | 18 | 4 | +13 | 7 ahead | P6-P7 ↑, A4 ↑, N4 ↑, P8 ↑ … |
| 2026-W3814 Sep | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | stalled | evidence only |
| 2026-W3921 Sep | 4 | 4 | 27 | 1 | +2 | 4 ahead | S4 ↑, G3 ↑ |
| 2026-W4028 Sep | 3 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | stalled | evidence only |
| 2026-W415 Oct | 4 | 6 | 31 | 0 | -4 | slipped | G3 ↑, A9-A10 ↓, N11-N12 ↓, A17 ↓ … |
| 2026-W4212 Oct | 3 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 0 | stalled | evidence only |
| 2026-W4319 Oct | 4 | 4 | 23 | 0 | +2 | 7 behind | N4 ↑, N11-N12 ↑ |
| 2026-W4426 Oct | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | nothing logged | |
| 2026-W452 Nov | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 behind in progress |
Touches are status changes where nothing moved: evidence logged against a topic that stayed where it was. Opened counts topics taught for the first time. Natural process limits from 9 weeks: a week above 14.97 or below 0 is a signal, anything between is routine variation.