← GCSE Spanish

Progress and forecast

Replayed from 79 status changes in 16 sessions since 3 Sep · 577 days to the exam · built from 8 weeks of pace

Today

3% · 10 of 300 steps

2% three weeks ago · 0% on 3 Sep · aimline says 11% today

Pace, last 8 weeks

0.7 steps a week

needs 1.4 to be 50% by 31 May · weeks ran 0 · 0 · 0 · +2 · +3 · +2 · 0 · 0

Behind aimline. 10 consecutive weeks under the aimline: the rule says change the teaching, not wait.

Stuck topics. Developing and not moving despite repeated work: G21 (7 touches, 3 weeks), T04 (3 touches, 8 weeks).

Sign in to see the forecast cone and the topics in flight.

Where she is, where she's headed

Coverage since 31 Aug with the aimline 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun everything secure · 67% aimline · 1.4 steps a week 3% today exam · 1 Jun
coverage, day by dayaimline: 0% on 3 Sep to 50% on 31 Mayeverything securedays off

Booked days off are shaded: no steps are expected on a day with no GCSE Spanish block, and the cone routes around them. The cone stops at 100% because the syllabus does; it does not know that later topics may be harder than the ones already taught.

Chart data
Week endingActualAimlineLikely lowMost likelyLikely high
2026-09-061%1%———
2026-09-131%2%———
2026-09-201%3%———
2026-09-271%5%———
2026-10-041%6%———
2026-10-112%7%———
2026-10-183%9%———
2026-10-253%10%———
2026-11-013%11%———
2026-11-023%11%———

How the colours have moved

Topics by status, week by week 0 25 50 75 100 1 secure 8 developing 91 not started 30 Aug 13 Sep 27 Sep 11 Oct 25 Oct 2 Nov
exam-readysecuredevelopinggapnot started

Green grows from the bottom. The yellow band is what is in flight: 8 developing now. A flat picture is a stalled week; green shrinking is a regression. 91 topics have not been opened.

Chart data
Week endingNot startedGapDevelopingSecureExam-ready
2026-08-301000000
2026-09-06980200
2026-09-13970300
2026-09-20970300
2026-09-27970300
2026-10-04970300
2026-10-11914500
2026-10-18912610
2026-10-25910810
2026-11-01910810
2026-11-02910810

Week by week

Steps gained each week against the pace needed 0 3 7 +2 W36 +1 W37 0 W38 0 W39 0 W40 +2 W41 +3 W42 +2 W43 0 W44 0 W45 upper limit 3.77 needed · 1.4 a week lower limit 0
WeekBlocksSessionsTouchesOpenedStepsAimlineReading
2026-W3631 Aug12232+20 behindG22 ↑, T04 ↑
2026-W377 Sep3101+13 behindT01 ↑
2026-W3814 Sep30000nothing logged
2026-W3921 Sep50000nothing logged
2026-W4028 Sep30000nothing logged
2026-W415 Oct55102+217 behindG25 ↓, G06 ↓, G21 ↓, P04 ↓ …
2026-W4212 Oct54152+317 behindT01 ↑, G25 ↑, G06 ↑
2026-W4319 Oct53122+219 behindP05 ↑, P04 ↑
2026-W4426 Oct51300stalledevidence only
2026-W452 Nov5000024 behind in progress

Touches are status changes where nothing moved: evidence logged against a topic that stayed where it was. Opened counts topics taught for the first time. Natural process limits from 9 weeks: a week above 3.77 or below 0 is a signal, anything between is routine variation.

How this is worked out
  1. The line is coverage replayed from every status change, one point per day, in steps: one topic moving up one level.
  2. The aimline runs from coverage on the first tracked day to the goal (every step on exam day unless the parent set another). Two weeks under it is a warning; four weeks running is the rule to change the teaching.
  3. The cone re-runs the future 5,000 times. Each run first re-draws which of the last 8 weeks count, then gives every future week the pace of one of those, scaled to the blocks the timetable has that week. Days off carry no blocks. The shaded band is where 70% of runs land; the paler band, 90%.
  4. Stalled is a week with blocks and sessions but no steps. Behind is a week that ended under the aimline. Touched, unmoved counts evidence logged against a topic that stayed put.
  5. The cone does not know that later topics may be harder, that exam-ready needs revision-phase work, or about holidays nobody has booked. It narrows as weeks are added.